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Red1
31260.7
782.3
12890.4
Blue2
15120.8
17490.6
3190.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
Unranked
2.30.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1512
Unranked
0.80.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3126
Unranked
0.70.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
319
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1289
Unranked
0.40.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1749
Unranked
0.60.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End