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Red5
201.6
12890.4
1262.8
Blue5
11531.3
1381.4
15170.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3305101555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
2.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
138
Unranked
1.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20
Unranked
1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1153
Unranked
1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1289
Unranked
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1517
Unranked
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End