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Red4
15120.8
10732.4
31260.7
Blue3
15470.6
581.2
2382.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
Unranked
2.40.1
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
238
Unranked
2.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1512
Unranked
0.80.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
58
Unranked
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3126
Unranked
0.70.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1547
Unranked
0.60.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End