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Red5
17291.3
31320.3
201.6
Blue7
23420.7
17490.6
10732.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320123456757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
1.60.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1073
Unranked
2.40.3
1.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1729
Unranked
1.30.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2342
Unranked
0.70.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3132
Unranked
0.30.2
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1749
Unranked
0.60.4
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End