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Red5
1341.0
1211.6
30740.0
Blue1
12890.4
15120.8
23860.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
1.60.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1512
Unranked
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
134
Unranked
1.00.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1289
Unranked
0.40.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3074
Unranked
0.00.2
-0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2386
Unranked
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End