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Red2
7521.3
19231.4
26070.8
Blue0
8702.1
1360.4
32310.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22012345620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
Unranked
1.40.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
870
Unranked
2.10.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
752
Unranked
1.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3231
Unranked
0.50.3
0.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2607
Unranked
0.80.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
136
Unranked
0.40.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End