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Red2
4861.5
23441.2
6130.9
Blue0
22650.4
26000.0
21801.7
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22011233420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
1.50.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2180
Unranked
1.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2344
Unranked
1.20.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2265
Unranked
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
613
Unranked
0.90.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2600
Unranked
0.00.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End