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Red2
2930.8
1360.4
8161.1
Blue1
26000.0
30591.2
2191.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
1.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
219
Unranked
1.40.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
Unranked
0.80.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3059
Unranked
1.20.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
136
Unranked
0.40.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2600
Unranked
0.00.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End