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Red0
26070.8
111.4
10891.9
Blue1
16160.4
21801.7
27531.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32014567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
1.90.2
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2180
Unranked
1.70.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11
Unranked
1.40.2
1.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2753
Unranked
1.50.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2607
Unranked
0.80.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1616
Unranked
0.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End