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Qual 312010 New Jersey Regional
Red5
5551.5
254.4
7090.6
Blue4
12570.1
561.9
24951.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410268101254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
4.40.1
2.3→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
56
Unranked
1.90.2
1.0→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
555
Unranked
1.50.1
0.8→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
2495
Unranked
1.40.2
0.3→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
709
Unranked
0.60.1
0.2→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
1257
Unranked
0.10.2
0.3→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—