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Red4
2030.8
2191.4
11550.3
Blue6
8341.4
7140.6
8702.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
Unranked
1.40.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
870
Unranked
2.10.2
1.92.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
203
Unranked
0.80.1
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
834
Unranked
1.40.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1155
Unranked
0.30.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
714
Unranked
0.60.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End