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Red2
12280.3
22650.4
18111.0
Blue1
26070.8
2789-0.1
2191-0.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20468101221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
Unranked
1.00.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2607
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2265
Unranked
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2789
Unranked
-0.10.1
-0.2-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1228
Unranked
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2191
Unranked
-0.20.0
-0.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End