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Red4
31550.3
26371.9
30090.9
Blue5
16410.9
8422.8
4730.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502468101245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#13
1.90.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
842
#5
2.80.0
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3009
#22
0.90.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
473
#28
0.90.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3155
#38
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1641
#42
0.90.0
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End