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Red2
21020.4
15721.7
30410.1
Blue0
24841.7
20570.2
16610.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#10
1.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2484
#11
1.70.1
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2102
#33
0.40.0
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1661
#34
0.50.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3041
#40
0.10.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2057
#45
0.20.2
0.90.6
Auto
Teleop
End