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Red8
12501.4
26731.4
21372.9
Blue2
10230.8
25862.3
4681.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6502481012141682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.1
3.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2586
#21
2.30.1
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2673
#19
1.40.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
468
#34
1.00.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1250
#12
1.40.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1023
#15
0.80.1
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End