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Red2
11880.5
26760.9
17010.7
Blue8
12160.7
2263.5
29600.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25010152028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2676
#32
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
226
#3
3.50.2
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1701
#36
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2960
#18
0.90.2
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1188
#38
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1216
#35
0.70.2
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End