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Red11
681.4
9102.9
2263.5
Blue7
2881.8
3020.6
4681.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82051015117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
3.50.2
2.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
288
#11
1.80.2
2.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#25
2.90.2
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
468
#34
1.00.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
68
#24
1.40.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
302
#29
0.60.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End