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Red12
2263.5
21372.9
34210.4
Blue1
9102.9
2881.8
29600.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6602481012121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
3.50.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
910
#25
2.90.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.90.3
2.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
288
#11
1.80.3
2.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3421
#14
0.40.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2960
#18
0.90.3
1.20.9
Auto
Teleop
End