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Red7
6950.6
31383.4
32010.5
Blue2
1590-0.3
16292.9
17470.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
Unranked
3.40.2
2.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1629
Unranked
2.90.1
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
Unranked
0.60.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1747
Unranked
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3201
Unranked
0.50.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1590
Unranked
-0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End