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Red1
4611.0
1200.3
32090.5
Blue0
12700.7
23400.6
17870.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21023456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
Unranked
1.00.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1787
Unranked
0.80.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3209
Unranked
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1270
Unranked
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
120
Unranked
0.30.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2340
Unranked
0.60.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End