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Red1
23500.8
9631.8
29411.4
Blue6
19900.8
32090.5
16292.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
963
Unranked
1.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1629
Unranked
2.90.2
2.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2941
Unranked
1.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1990
Unranked
0.80.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2350
Unranked
0.80.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3209
Unranked
0.50.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End