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Red1
48-0.1
3061.7
26030.8
Blue3
20531.3
28350.3
22790.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681012141613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
1.70.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2053
Unranked
1.30.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2603
Unranked
0.80.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2279
Unranked
0.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
Unranked
-0.10.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2835
Unranked
0.30.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End