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Qual 762010 Buckeye Regional
Red8
5780.6
31383.4
12700.7
Blue3
26030.8
23990.5
32030.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions510268101283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
Unranked
3.40.2
3.3→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
2603
Unranked
0.80.1
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1270
Unranked
0.70.2
0.6→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
2399
Unranked
0.50.1
0.5→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
578
Unranked
0.60.2
0.3→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
3203
Unranked
0.50.1
0.5→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—