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Red4
10011.0
29011.3
4511.9
Blue3
19900.8
33240.8
2761.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions520468101243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
Unranked
1.90.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
276
Unranked
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2901
Unranked
1.30.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3324
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1001
Unranked
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1990
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End