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Red1
23820.4
23330.6
23910.9
Blue8
19871.4
17501.0
24102.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2391
#18
0.90.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2.60.3
1.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2333
#52
0.60.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1987
#27
1.40.4
1.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2382
#23
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.00.4
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End