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Red3
20040.8
19391.7
25710.3
Blue3
27790.6
17421.7
28420.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1742
#22
1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2004
#38
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2779
#31
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2571
#43
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2842
#28
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End