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Red1
27770.4
24610.6
31790.5
Blue5
17501.0
12091.3
19391.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2461
#51
0.60.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3179
#39
0.50.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1209
#46
1.30.1
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2777
#47
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.00.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End