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Red0
4760.7
31440.9
24610.6
Blue1
28420.4
23820.4
27951.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3144
#45
0.90.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2795
#19
1.10.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
#35
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2382
#23
0.40.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2461
#51
0.60.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2842
#28
0.40.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End