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Red2
12091.3
25710.3
24350.2
Blue0
23960.7
32470.4
15611.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#46
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1561
#17
1.00.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2571
#43
0.30.0
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2396
#14
0.70.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2435
#53
0.20.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3247
#48
0.40.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End