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Red0
23950.6
27790.6
12091.3
Blue4
34130.9
31600.4
23761.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681004

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#46
1.30.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2376
#20
1.10.2
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2395
#44
0.60.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3413
#40
0.90.2
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2779
#31
0.60.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3160
#13
0.40.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End