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Red3
29860.6
28420.4
23960.7
Blue1
18630.2
31790.5
23330.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2396
#14
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2333
#52
0.60.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2986
#12
0.60.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3179
#39
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2842
#28
0.40.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1863
#50
0.20.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End