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Red1
31630.1
24610.6
32470.4
Blue0
23540.5
31520.7
23890.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2461
#51
0.60.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3152
#16
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3247
#48
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2389
#24
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3163
#49
0.10.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2354
#21
0.50.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End