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Red1
23980.9
23731.6
32470.4
Blue3
19871.4
23590.7
23890.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1987
#27
1.40.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2398
#11
0.90.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2359
#33
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3247
#48
0.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2389
#24
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End