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Red1
23540.5
23411.0
23910.9
Blue2
23720.2
12091.3
23691.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#10
1.00.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1209
#46
1.30.0
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2391
#18
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2354
#21
0.50.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2372
#36
0.20.0
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End