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Red4
23720.2
24610.6
19391.7
Blue0
31600.4
15611.0
23980.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1561
#17
1.00.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2461
#51
0.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2398
#11
0.90.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2372
#36
0.20.2
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3160
#13
0.40.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End