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Red1
27230.6
34130.9
19871.4
Blue4
27770.4
9352.8
17101.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402681014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#27
1.40.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
935
#3
2.80.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3413
#40
0.90.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2723
#34
0.60.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2777
#47
0.40.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End