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Red2
10530.3
15651.7
21980.6
Blue8
18351.2
28522.4
29493.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17024681012141628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1565
#33
1.70.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2949
#14
3.70.1
3.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2198
#29
0.60.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2.40.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1053
#50
0.30.0
0.00.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1835
#28
1.20.1
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End