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Qual 642010 Greater Toronto Regional
Red4
12412.2
14820.9
8860.8
Blue2
33820.9
18460.5
21851.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420681042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#9
2.20.0
2.0→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
2185
#24
1.00.0
0.9→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1482
#36
0.90.0
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
3382
#26
0.90.0
0.6→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
886
#37
0.80.1
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
1846
#43
0.50.0
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—