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Red2
29150.8
9481.1
13180.9
Blue1
17000.6
15150.5
30700.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681012141621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#35
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1700
#28
0.60.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#40
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3070
#50
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2915
#48
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1515
#55
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End