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Red3
15710.5
15402.0
15950.3
Blue2
29101.3
25211.0
9481.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2910
#30
1.30.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1571
#56
0.50.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
948
#35
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1595
#51
0.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2521
#25
1.00.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End