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Red4
25220.9
28651.2
27331.5
Blue6
9972.8
20021.0
32231.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#15
1.50.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
997
#1
2.80.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2865
#19
1.20.2
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3223
#21
1.40.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2522
#43
0.90.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1.00.3
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End