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Red0
15950.3
15150.5
20460.9
Blue7
30240.5
32231.4
15402.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120134567807

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#29
0.90.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2.00.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1515
#55
0.50.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3223
#21
1.40.4
0.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1595
#51
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3024
#22
0.50.4
0.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End