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Red3
29510.5
18230.7
20021.0
Blue3
31310.5
28980.9
29150.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210134567833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2898
#31
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1823
#32
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2915
#48
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2951
#37
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3131
#34
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End