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Red4
21470.6
24711.6
28651.2
Blue9
31921.2
27331.5
31652.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#17
1.60.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3165
#16
2.10.5
1.11.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2865
#19
1.20.1
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2733
#15
1.50.5
1.11.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2147
#52
0.60.1
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.20.5
0.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End