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Red3
19831.9
24110.3
17000.6
Blue2
3600.9
29220.7
8471.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3406810121432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#13
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
847
#3
1.70.2
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1700
#28
0.60.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
360
#23
0.90.2
1.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2411
#38
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2922
#44
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End