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Red4
30240.5
28111.7
18230.7
Blue1
31880.5
30700.6
9570.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3070
#50
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1823
#32
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3188
#58
0.50.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3024
#22
0.50.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
957
#33
0.20.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End