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Red3
14320.6
29220.7
25571.2
Blue7
23740.8
32231.4
29101.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320134567837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3223
#21
1.40.4
0.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2922
#44
0.70.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2910
#30
1.30.4
0.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1432
#41
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2374
#39
0.80.4
0.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End