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Red2
25170.9
32100.5
31310.5
Blue4
31451.2
25220.9
15150.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2517
#27
0.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3145
#10
1.20.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3210
#53
0.50.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2522
#43
0.90.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3131
#34
0.50.1
-0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1515
#55
0.50.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End