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Red3
19801.7
13911.8
7080.9
Blue0
16471.9
3160.5
25390.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310234567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#32
1.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.90.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.70.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2539
#40
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
708
#30
0.90.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
316
#43
0.50.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End