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Qual 22010 Philadelphia Regional
Red7
17910.4
27532.5
8161.5
Blue3
31670.9
11431.9
22290.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330468101273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2753
#6
2.50.3
1.5→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
1143
#19
1.90.0
1.9→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
816
#15
1.50.3
1.1→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
3167
#31
0.90.5
0.9→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1791
#39
0.40.3
0.3→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
2229
#41
0.30.0
0.4→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—